On Friday morning, West Coast port officials told CNN about a startling sight: Not a single cargo vessel had left China with goods for the two major West Coast ports in the past 12 hours. That hasn’t happened since the pandemic.
i heard that once you fuck with the international supply chain, it takes a while to recover… like, you announce a bunch of tariffs and companies stop filling orders, factories stop, etc… suspending tariffs doesn’t make that all just start up again immediately.
but hey, our 11 year olds don’t need 30 dolls or 50 pencils?
what sucks is it’s actually really good to stop it… just, not like this…
The last time the Orange Moron was president, his trade war with China led to retaliatory tariffs on soy beans. This led to China increasing soybean imports from Brazil. Even once the tariffs ended, China continued importing from Brazil and American exports never recovered. A whole bunch of farmers still voted for him.
At this point, I want this disaster to get as bad as possible. We fucking deserve to suffer.
that reminds me of my environmental science class when the teacher was talking about the complexity of international markets….
he was saying that while on it’s face it’s better to get protein from soy instead of meat, we export most of our soy to china, and when americans demand soy china starts getting it from brazil… which causes rainforest destruction…
so basically, soy boys are killing the rainforest.
and now trump is… yaaay.
p.s. the election was rigged, we don’t deserve it… but america does hold too much power anyways.
It’s 11,631 km from Shenzen to Los Angeles. That’s about 6280 nautical miles.
The average container ship speed is 16-25 knots. Let’s split the difference and call it 20.
6280 nm/20kn=314hours
That’s a little over 13 days just to cross the Pacific, assuming a steady course and no issues. Add in time to load the ship in China and unload it in LA, and you can see why the most-cited estimates are three to four weeks for cross-Pacific shipping.
If no ships have left China in the past few days, that means it was a month ago (hey, anyone remember “Liberation Day” on April 2?) that ships stopped sailing. And that means it will be at least another month before any more arrive, assuming they leave today.
I’ve been trying to raise awareness about exit polls being off for years, as well as many states flunking statistical tests with precincts. All the major news in the USA stopped using exit polls to predict many races.
It’s not rocket science, and the numbers can be run by most people with a high school math level and a small level of programming. The raw data is readily available from both government and organizations.
But, this has no interest for any party activists, across the spectrum. Over a decade of trying did convinced me Americans who were politically active really do not want to know.
i don’t think it’s that they don’t want to know, i think it’s that they’re inundated with bullshit, and during covid there was a never ending stream of fake conspiracy evidence with charts and math and shit…
and then never ending fake evidence that the previous election was stolen (although they used that to prepare for actually stealing it this time… like getting the source code of voting machines for their “audits”)
so when someone like us shows up and says, “no it’s a real conspiracy! i have proof!” people’s eyes glaze over… and generally people are afraid of math.
I feel this is such a complicated issue I do not understand at all. One would think that republicans would take interest in why their candidates loose in the primaries, or the democrats would want to think really hard about the evidence coming from the famous close votes to control the senate or house. But, no.
I came from the computer side of things, with my criticism of voting software. For a long time I tried to talk about software. I figured early on that people were, like you described, just tuning me out. But, after I tried to change tack, and skip any technology or math, there was still no interest.
Over the years I have had many discussions and I concluded this was simply a taboo subject for those who are active in politics. However, those who are cynical, and not participating, readily see the value and truth, but see little value of the knowledge. We have no ready made audience for such discussions.
For a long time I just felt like there was something simply broken in political discussion. There is a wide disconnect between those who participate in American politics and everyone else. Its not math, its not science, its faith. We are challenging the faith of the politically active. What does that make us? Heretics.
We are heretics who speak of things that, if taken seriously, would invalidate the majority of USA elections. The truth would burn the country down. Its remarkable there is such tolerance as seen, and its just people ignoring the few who see the Emperor has no clothes.
And we will be ignored here, there, everywhere, for at least a generation or two, if not longer.
maybe… or maybe neither of us are good at communicating difficult topics to people?
i couldn’t convince anyone that the covid pandemic was coming, even though i had been tracking it since it first started growing in china and korea…
i couldn’t get my own family to stock up on toilet paper and supplies, while australia had people fighting in grocery stores…
maybe america just had it good for too long. “it won’t happen here” has been mostly true for quite a while.
one thing i’ll say is: this won’t invalidate all elections. for one, i don’t think they hacked the voting machines before this one, but also people have been cheating in elections ever since Athens… it’s the nature of humans and power.
i just think that due to voting machine hacks, no election has been stolen on this scale before.
every hacker, computer security person, or just programmer has said that voting machines are crazy, but people just won’t listen.
there’s testimony of a lead developer claiming he was asked to write a program to manipulate votes during george w bush’s election… he explained how easy he could’ve done it, but he blew the whistle instead…. nothing came of it.
for one, politicians don’t like to talk about technical things they don’t understand, because then they can be shown to be fools….
i don’t know, all i can do is speculate.
but i do know for sure that the data of the last election proves it was hacked. there’s an algorithm… it’s clearly in the stats….
but we need some nice infographics, some nice, short and sweet, animated videos… an hour long youtube video with a statistician talking over graphs isn’t going to work.
the simplest impossibility is: they won every single swing state with just enough votes no not trigger an automatic recount… flipped 88 counties and harris flipped zero….
with trump behind in every poll…
it’s impossible…
also a weird coincidence that 88 is a neo-nazi symbol (H being the 8th letter of the alphabet -> heil asshole), no conclusions their but they do like their symbolism….
but there’s other glaring evidence. people voting differently if they have odd or even numbered birth years is a huge one… that is absolutely the work of a shitty programmer… probably using pseudorandom number generators wrong….
but it needs to be packaged nicely….
simple enough to be understood, but not so simple that it’s just five posters with big bold words on it.
I don’t think its a communication problem, I thought that about myself for a few years and finally worked through it. Deaf ears cannot hear. Supporting my contention, is that I have seen people try to improve methods for counting ballots in the USA, and invariably, they give up after shouting to the void after a few years, usually less than five.
Some movements, like getting Virginia to use paper ballots, are rare victories, and are invariably regional in scope.
So, temporarily ignoring who is doing what in cheating, and how prevalent it is, and for how long it has been happening ( I have been against Texas electronic voting enabling cheating for the past generation, and its not hacking, but that is my own starting point into this).
I think anyone who understands the overall issue can agree that the average political participate, or spectator, in the USA, has absolutely no concept of democracy, and is basically an interesting study in psychology. Because, it takes mental gymnastics to overlook exit polls being off, and to just trust whatever process is going on, which they are neither interested in, or curious about. And yet be so hyped up about how many people vote, and for who. Its just a contradiction on so many levels.
For me, its been a singularly frustrating experience. Because I have one foot in the camp of people who do not care, and one foot in the camp of people who do care. I think that is what makes people like me rare.
i heard that once you fuck with the international supply chain, it takes a while to recover… like, you announce a bunch of tariffs and companies stop filling orders, factories stop, etc… suspending tariffs doesn’t make that all just start up again immediately.
but hey, our 11 year olds don’t need 30 dolls or 50 pencils?
what sucks is it’s actually really good to stop it… just, not like this…
p.s. grow a garden.
The last time the Orange Moron was president, his trade war with China led to retaliatory tariffs on soy beans. This led to China increasing soybean imports from Brazil. Even once the tariffs ended, China continued importing from Brazil and American exports never recovered. A whole bunch of farmers still voted for him.
At this point, I want this disaster to get as bad as possible. We fucking deserve to suffer.
that reminds me of my environmental science class when the teacher was talking about the complexity of international markets….
he was saying that while on it’s face it’s better to get protein from soy instead of meat, we export most of our soy to china, and when americans demand soy china starts getting it from brazil… which causes rainforest destruction…
so basically, soy boys are killing the rainforest.
and now trump is… yaaay.
p.s. the election was rigged, we don’t deserve it… but america does hold too much power anyways.
They don’t need pencils for the factory jobs. I guess is what I’m told.
Out of curiosity, I looked it up a while back.
It’s 11,631 km from Shenzen to Los Angeles. That’s about 6280 nautical miles.
The average container ship speed is 16-25 knots. Let’s split the difference and call it 20.
6280 nm / 20 kn = 314 hoursThat’s a little over 13 days just to cross the Pacific, assuming a steady course and no issues. Add in time to load the ship in China and unload it in LA, and you can see why the most-cited estimates are three to four weeks for cross-Pacific shipping.
If no ships have left China in the past few days, that means it was a month ago (hey, anyone remember “Liberation Day” on April 2?) that ships stopped sailing. And that means it will be at least another month before any more arrive, assuming they leave today.
Trump voters have really fucked over the US.
since you can do math, i encourage you to check out election truth alliance, and on reddit r/somethingiswrong2024….
there’s a fair amount of junk on there, but when people analyze the voting data, there are statistical impossibilities.
trump voters are only part of it, the election was hacked.
stuff like, drastically different voting behavior during certain parts of the day, different voting patterns in people born on odd versus even years…
most people go blank when talking about math and statistics…
I’ve been trying to raise awareness about exit polls being off for years, as well as many states flunking statistical tests with precincts. All the major news in the USA stopped using exit polls to predict many races.
It’s not rocket science, and the numbers can be run by most people with a high school math level and a small level of programming. The raw data is readily available from both government and organizations.
But, this has no interest for any party activists, across the spectrum. Over a decade of trying did convinced me Americans who were politically active really do not want to know.
i don’t think it’s that they don’t want to know, i think it’s that they’re inundated with bullshit, and during covid there was a never ending stream of fake conspiracy evidence with charts and math and shit…
and then never ending fake evidence that the previous election was stolen (although they used that to prepare for actually stealing it this time… like getting the source code of voting machines for their “audits”)
so when someone like us shows up and says, “no it’s a real conspiracy! i have proof!” people’s eyes glaze over… and generally people are afraid of math.
I feel this is such a complicated issue I do not understand at all. One would think that republicans would take interest in why their candidates loose in the primaries, or the democrats would want to think really hard about the evidence coming from the famous close votes to control the senate or house. But, no.
I came from the computer side of things, with my criticism of voting software. For a long time I tried to talk about software. I figured early on that people were, like you described, just tuning me out. But, after I tried to change tack, and skip any technology or math, there was still no interest.
Over the years I have had many discussions and I concluded this was simply a taboo subject for those who are active in politics. However, those who are cynical, and not participating, readily see the value and truth, but see little value of the knowledge. We have no ready made audience for such discussions.
For a long time I just felt like there was something simply broken in political discussion. There is a wide disconnect between those who participate in American politics and everyone else. Its not math, its not science, its faith. We are challenging the faith of the politically active. What does that make us? Heretics.
We are heretics who speak of things that, if taken seriously, would invalidate the majority of USA elections. The truth would burn the country down. Its remarkable there is such tolerance as seen, and its just people ignoring the few who see the Emperor has no clothes.
And we will be ignored here, there, everywhere, for at least a generation or two, if not longer.
maybe… or maybe neither of us are good at communicating difficult topics to people?
i couldn’t convince anyone that the covid pandemic was coming, even though i had been tracking it since it first started growing in china and korea…
i couldn’t get my own family to stock up on toilet paper and supplies, while australia had people fighting in grocery stores…
maybe america just had it good for too long. “it won’t happen here” has been mostly true for quite a while.
one thing i’ll say is: this won’t invalidate all elections. for one, i don’t think they hacked the voting machines before this one, but also people have been cheating in elections ever since Athens… it’s the nature of humans and power.
i just think that due to voting machine hacks, no election has been stolen on this scale before.
every hacker, computer security person, or just programmer has said that voting machines are crazy, but people just won’t listen.
there’s testimony of a lead developer claiming he was asked to write a program to manipulate votes during george w bush’s election… he explained how easy he could’ve done it, but he blew the whistle instead…. nothing came of it.
for one, politicians don’t like to talk about technical things they don’t understand, because then they can be shown to be fools….
i don’t know, all i can do is speculate.
but i do know for sure that the data of the last election proves it was hacked. there’s an algorithm… it’s clearly in the stats….
but we need some nice infographics, some nice, short and sweet, animated videos… an hour long youtube video with a statistician talking over graphs isn’t going to work.
the simplest impossibility is: they won every single swing state with just enough votes no not trigger an automatic recount… flipped 88 counties and harris flipped zero….
with trump behind in every poll…
it’s impossible…
also a weird coincidence that 88 is a neo-nazi symbol (H being the 8th letter of the alphabet -> heil asshole), no conclusions their but they do like their symbolism….
but there’s other glaring evidence. people voting differently if they have odd or even numbered birth years is a huge one… that is absolutely the work of a shitty programmer… probably using pseudorandom number generators wrong….
but it needs to be packaged nicely….
simple enough to be understood, but not so simple that it’s just five posters with big bold words on it.
I don’t think its a communication problem, I thought that about myself for a few years and finally worked through it. Deaf ears cannot hear. Supporting my contention, is that I have seen people try to improve methods for counting ballots in the USA, and invariably, they give up after shouting to the void after a few years, usually less than five.
Some movements, like getting Virginia to use paper ballots, are rare victories, and are invariably regional in scope.
So, temporarily ignoring who is doing what in cheating, and how prevalent it is, and for how long it has been happening ( I have been against Texas electronic voting enabling cheating for the past generation, and its not hacking, but that is my own starting point into this).
I think anyone who understands the overall issue can agree that the average political participate, or spectator, in the USA, has absolutely no concept of democracy, and is basically an interesting study in psychology. Because, it takes mental gymnastics to overlook exit polls being off, and to just trust whatever process is going on, which they are neither interested in, or curious about. And yet be so hyped up about how many people vote, and for who. Its just a contradiction on so many levels.
For me, its been a singularly frustrating experience. Because I have one foot in the camp of people who do not care, and one foot in the camp of people who do care. I think that is what makes people like me rare.
Not to mention, there are all the opportunistic price gouges across all industries. Prices go up and then stay up because profits gotta grow.