A recent study published in Scientific Reports suggests that political beliefs are increasingly linked to the number of children Americans choose to have. The findings indicate that while conservative individuals tend to maintain birth rates near historical averages, left-leaning individuals are having significantly fewer children. This demographic trend provides evidence that differing birth rates are a main driver of recent fertility declines in the United States.

The data revealed a pronounced change in how political beliefs relate to family size. For individuals born in the early 1900s, political orientation had almost no association with the number of children they had. However, beginning with the cohort born between 1943 and 1947, a massive divergence emerged.

“We expected these results, but not to such a dramatic extent,” Fieder told PsyPost. From the mid-century cohorts onward, individuals with right-wing political views maintained birth rates at or slightly above the replacement level. The replacement level, typically considered to be 2.1 children per woman, is the rate needed for a population to replace itself from one generation to the next without immigration.

In contrast, the birth rates of left-wing individuals dropped sharply, falling well below the replacement level in the more recent cohorts. The authors noticed this drop aligns with historical changes in family planning. “We found that the gap began with the introduction of modern contraception,” Fieder said.

  • ActualGrapesTasteGreen@piefed.zip
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    3 months ago

    I 100% do not want to be responsible for bringing new life onto this fucking planet. I’m already fixed and my wife and I will be adopting.

    • velma@sh.itjust.worksOP
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      3 months ago

      I love that we have that choice nowadays. I can’t even imagine what it would have been like to always risk pregnancy every time a couple has sex.

      • ActualGrapesTasteGreen@piefed.zip
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        3 months ago

        Getting fixed wasn’t just a form of birth control either. My wife is diabetic and was about to join an experimental treatment trial but was rejected because we didn’t have kids and might choose to one day. Nipped that in the bud and now she’s in and doing much better.

  • AlexisN@lemmy.zip
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    3 months ago

    This type of shit is coming through I guess and blame always goes to opposition, and running party is having dozens 🎉 I mean they running 🏃

  • ContactClosure@lemmus.org
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    3 months ago

    Get snipped guys! It’s easy. If you’re fertile and you think you know what freedom means, you don’t.

    • velma@sh.itjust.worksOP
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      3 months ago

      I personally don’t think less people is a problem. I think women should be fully able to choose when and how many children they have.

        • velma@sh.itjust.worksOP
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          3 months ago

          We have enough resources to take care of everyone. Billionaires and the ruling class are hoarding those resources.

          Of course having a kid is not liking buying a bag of crisps. Women have more access to education, career opportunities, and contraception now. They are making the educated choice to delay having children. We should be supporting women’s choices and not trying to force them to have children sooner by taking away education and contraception.

            • velma@sh.itjust.worksOP
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              3 months ago

              You’re talking to someone who is already a mother.

              I don’t really need to be guilt tripped about having children. If you support women’s rights, you support our right to choose to have kids.

              Also we’re really not going to achieve having people give up on having children. It’s not going to happen. If we support women’s choices when it comes to how they want to live their lives, we can reduce the number of unwanted children and that’s good enough for me.

                • velma@sh.itjust.worksOP
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                  3 months ago

                  Yep which is why the falling birth rate is not really a problem in my opinion. Let women have control over their lives and the rates will continue to fall.

                  It’s just not realistic to fight for every single person to refuse to have children.

      • acargitz@lemmy.ca
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        3 months ago

        The data shows that belief in pastafarianism is caused by understanding the difference between correlation and causation.

    • Washedupcynic@lemmy.ca
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      3 months ago

      Are you trying to make a point that correlation does not equal causation? Cause I have been scratching my head wondering what your comment has to do with the current discussion in this thread.

      • acargitz@lemmy.ca
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        3 months ago

        Yes. To quote the Forbes article:

        So, when someone proposes a cause and effect relationship between two things - reduction in pirates causing global warming; Obama creating the global economic crisis; young people ruining American business - ask for the data that shows they’re related, rather than simply that they’re happening at the same time.

  • reluctant_squidd@lemmy.cadeleted by creator
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    3 months ago

    Great. It’s being posted in more places.

    Hypothetical, polarized fantasy.

    Every quote from the actual science is about how it is only correlation. Nothing factual or remotely concrete.

    Another over-hyped nothing burger.

  • yesman@lemmy.world
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    3 months ago
    1. Low birth rates are a problem for capitalism, not humanity.

    2. When given a choice, women choose to have fewer babies.

    • NoneOfUrBusiness@fedia.io
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      3 months ago

      When given a choice, women choose to have fewer babies.

      No? Most women say they’d have more kids if they could afford it.

      • velma@sh.itjust.worksOP
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        3 months ago

        Most women say they’d have more kids if they could afford it.

        When women have access to education, career opportunities, and contraception, birth rates drop.

        We assessed the quantitative impact of education and family planning in high‐fertility settings using a regression framework inspired by Granger causality. We found that women’s attainment of lower secondary education is key to accelerating fertility decline and found an accelerating effect of contraceptive prevalence for modern methods. We found the impact of contraceptive prevalence to be substantially larger than that of education.

        Widespread use of contraceptives and, to a lesser extent, girls’ education through at least age 14 have the greatest impact in bringing down a country’s fertility rate.

        Three mechanisms influence the fertility decision of educated women: (i) the relatively higher incomes and thus higher income forgone due to childbearing leads them to want fewer children. The better care these women give increases their children’s human capital and reduces the economic need for more children; (ii) the positive health impacts of education, on both women and their children, mean women are better able to give birth and children’s higher survival rate reduces the desire for more; and (iii) the knowledge impact of education means women are better at using contraceptives. For developing population policies, it is thus important to understand these impacts on income, health, and knowledge, and their influence on fertility decisions in the specific country context.

          • velma@sh.itjust.worksOP
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            3 months ago

            Affordability is only 36% of the stated reasons women aren’t having more children.

            The other reasons are: still looking for the right spouse, lifestyle or career, family is still growing, and trouble conceiving.

            There’s many reasons and just shrugging and saying it’s the economy doesn’t explain enough.

            • iopq@lemmy.world
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              3 months ago

              Trouble conceiving is often related to age. Ability to conceive naturally drops in women’s thirties. If a woman in her twenties didn’t think her family could support kids, then in her thirties she may find out she’s having trouble conceiving

              We should stop making young people support people in old age. It drops fertility, makes the electorate older and more likely to vote for more benefits for themselves.

              One example is rent control. It only decreases your cost of living if you’ve been there a long time. It decreases the supply of housing long term

              • velma@sh.itjust.worksOP
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                3 months ago

                Women in their twenties are delaying children for a multitude of reasons and career opportunities and education are big factors.

                When given the choice via contraception and reproductive health, women have children later in their lives.

            • socsa@piefed.social
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              3 months ago

              What percentage of the reason is simply a refusing to manufacture additional meat for the orphan crushing machine?

              • velma@sh.itjust.worksOP
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                3 months ago

                Among women under 35 today, 30% already have children, 41% say they want to have children, 15% are not sure, and only 14% say they don’t wish to have children, according to a new Institute for Family Studies/YouGov survey of 2,000 young adults conducted in May to June of 2024.

                From the article that @NoneOfUrBusiness@fedia.io linked…which I’m just now realizing is from Institute for Family Studies a fucking conservative think tank:

                The Institute for Family Studies (IFS) is a conservative “think tank” which, according to its website, has the expressed mission “to strengthen marriage and natural family and advancing the well-being of children through research and public education.”[1] Research from IFS and its employees are frequently cited and published in both conservative outlets such as National Review [2] and more mainstream ones, like the Washington Post.[3]. “IFS is a successor to the Ridge Foundation, through which Bradley and others used to support Wilcox’s National Marriage Project.”[1] The Institute for Family Studies says that its “commitment is rooted in the social-science fact that children are most likely to thrive when they are raised by their own married biological parents. The underlying premise of its work is that families and communities, freedom and prosperity, and the political order itself – both at home and abroad – are all critically dependent upon the existence of a strong healthy, pervasive marriage culture among the citizenry.”[4]

                IFS is also an associate member of the State Policy Network (SPN), a web of state pressure groups that denote themselves as “think tanks” and drive a right-wing agenda in statehouses nationwide.

            • NoneOfUrBusiness@fedia.io
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              3 months ago

              I mean there are many reasons, but it’s still obvious from the data that a more accommodating society (both economically and otherwise) would have more children. It’d be easy to argue, for example, that “still looking for the right spouse,” is at least partially caused by delays in entering long-term relationships until it’s financially viable, and this also ties into “trouble conceiving,” because people are expected to spend the years they’d have the easiest time conceiving advancing their careers so they can provide a decent life to their future children. It’d also be absurd to suggest the necessity of two-income households hasn’t contributed to women prioritizing their careers over starting families*. What “affordability” really means here is the proportion of women who’d be able to have more children right now if not for money; it doesn’t count knock-on effects that boil down to unaffordability. Modern urbanized societies are deeply unkind to mothers in ways that need to be untangled before current birth rates can be presented as the results of freedom.

              *To be clear, this is perfectly fine as long as it’s a free choice, but clearly in most cases it’s an attempt to optimize against social and economic conditions. Current birth rates aren’t any freer a choice than those of two centuries ago; both are responses to social conditions that make one choice much more optimal compared to others.

          • velma@sh.itjust.worksOP
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            3 months ago

            Wow, you really linked to the Institute of Family Studies?

            The Institute for Family Studies (IFS) is a conservative “think tank” which, according to its website, has the expressed mission “to strengthen marriage and natural family and advancing the well-being of children through research and public education.”[1] Research from IFS and its employees are frequently cited and published in both conservative outlets such as National Review [2] and more mainstream ones, like the Washington Post.[3]. “IFS is a successor to the Ridge Foundation, through which Bradley and others used to support Wilcox’s National Marriage Project.”[1] The Institute for Family Studies says that its “commitment is rooted in the social-science fact that children are most likely to thrive when they are raised by their own married biological parents. The underlying premise of its work is that families and communities, freedom and prosperity, and the political order itself – both at home and abroad – are all critically dependent upon the existence of a strong healthy, pervasive marriage culture among the citizenry.”[4]

            IFS is also an associate member of the State Policy Network (SPN), a web of state pressure groups that denote themselves as “think tanks” and drive a right-wing agenda in statehouses nationwide.

            That’s not a credible source at all.

            • NoneOfUrBusiness@fedia.io
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              3 months ago

              TIL, but also I mean, I wouldn’t trust it to interpret data or give me unbiased information but there’s only so much you can mess with in a survey. They’d also be more blatant about it if the data was doctored.

              • velma@sh.itjust.worksOP
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                3 months ago

                They can absolutely fuck with surveys. How questions are phrased is one way. We have no idea how they collected this data. They’re not a trustworthy source because they have an agenda to force women to have more children.

      • Viking_Hippie@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        3 months ago

        When given a choice, women choose to have fewer babies.

        No? Most women say they’d have more kids if they could afford it.

        Which most can’t, so they wisely choose not to when given a choice.

        • NoneOfUrBusiness@fedia.io
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          3 months ago

          Not doing something because one can’t afford it isn’t a choice; women in developed countries aren’t choosing not to have children any more than I’m choosing not to vacation to buy a private jet.

          • socsa@piefed.social
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            3 months ago

            We are a top 5% income US household. We don’t want to have kids because it seems like a major pain in the ass, and because we have no interest in breeding additional cogs for the capitalist machine.

          • Viking_Hippie@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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            3 months ago

            I mean, you’re right and you’re not right:

            Non-wealthy but not destitute and dominated women can decide to limit the number of children they have to an economically and otherwise responsible amount. That’s an ACTUAL available choice.

            The aforementioned destitute and dominated women (whether due to patriarchal dictates, authoritarian legislation, or other impediments to their freedom of choice) might not have that choice, but that doesn’t mean that those WITH the choice aren’t often choosing to forego additional/any children for partly or wholly economic reasons.

            • NoneOfUrBusiness@fedia.io
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              3 months ago

              That’s an ACTUAL available choice.

              It’s technically an available choice, but my argument is that the consequences to not making the optimal choice are so harsh that it might as well not be a choice at all. For a somewhat absurd example, one could technically choose not to work and just be homeless, but obviously that doesn’t mean we’re free to choose whether or not to work. Freedom is a spectrum and birth rates for the working class (especially working class women) tend to be closer to “not free” than “free” on that spectrum.

              PS: To be clear my intention isn’t to invalidate anyone’s choice to have or not to have children; my problem is with presenting the current situation as the unavoidable result of women’s liberation when in reality there’s a clear set of avoidable incentives leading to declining birthrates.

          • velma@sh.itjust.worksOP
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            3 months ago

            But choosing to not have children because they can’t afford it is a relatively new freedom women have.

      • Perky@fedia.io
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        3 months ago

        Yes, because women are entitled to make decisions about their own bodies. Glad you’re following along.

        • Etnaphele@lemmy.world
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          3 months ago

          Exactly, but how the sentence is written implies that any woman with a choice, would choose to avoid children. I see it as discriminatory, as there are many women who freely choose to have many children.

          • velma@sh.itjust.worksOP
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            3 months ago

            You called women having a choice “entitled shit”.

            Why are you backtracking to make yourself sound less abrasive?

            • Etnaphele@lemmy.world
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              3 months ago

              What I meant is that the commenter and people thinking that women having a choice directly choose not to have children are acting entitled and it’s shit. So the opposite of what is being read out of my comment. Probably I wrote it just badly 😆

          • RBWells@lemmy.world
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            3 months ago

            I did, and am progressive as fuck. I just like kids. Had 4 then married a guy with 5. I love having a big family and the kids love the extended network of siblings. There’s room for me to do that because so many people are having none so I appreciate those people a lot, but am not among them. Raising kids was the best work I have ever done.

            • velma@sh.itjust.worksOP
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              3 months ago

              Thank you for this. I have the utmost respect for people who take on the care of raising children well. I only have one and it’s hard as fuck.

        • Etnaphele@lemmy.world
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          3 months ago

          The commenter writes that any woman would always have less children if given a choice: I don’t agree, as there are also women who want to have many children and it’s also ok. I’m all in for autonomy.

  • Washedupcynic@lemmy.ca
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    3 months ago

    How long before we are just mass growing babies in petri dishes and decanting bottles on an assembly line like brave new world?

    • finallymadeanaccount@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      Who Wants to Grow a Baby?

      Pilot episode.

      “Joel, you’ve had some experience in this arena before. Willing to let us know where Sample 1 stands?”

      “Sure, Candy!”

      sip sip sip

      swish swish swish

      spit

      “This semen has a smoky flavour, but not from the test tube it was stored in. It’s more acrid, and heavy with PFSAs than you’d expect, leading me to conclude it comes from the southern Arizona region. Historically, sibling pairing has been noted in that area, and this drop doesn’t do anything to disabuse me of the notion the donor is, indeed, the offspring of brother and sister. All in all, a fairly inexpensive affair, but still unable to justify the price tag. One to be avoided, I think”.

    • foxwolf@pawb.social
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      3 months ago

      That’s way more expensive than forcibly impregnating imprisoned women. Once we put all these psycho lefties into the camps, there will be plenty of worthless childless women who can be put to work restocking our wage-slave peasant numbers. They’re currently working on the means by which to round them up. We got official “trump derangement syndrome” diagnoses in the works. We got impossibly high prices on everything, which forces people to do crimes of survival. Anyone saying any left wing thoughts can be imprisoned for life on terrorism charges. They already started doing the life imprisonment for people who have ever written down anything left of center, but they’re still working on forced identification of everyone on the internet. Once the “age verification” shit gets worked out and they know exactly who posted what, it’ll be super easy to round up all the lefties.

      • Washedupcynic@lemmy.ca
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        3 months ago

        Eventually the only escape will be suicide. If it came down to it, I’d end things on my terms rather than be enslaved to be a baby maker.

    • velma@sh.itjust.worksOP
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      3 months ago

      Considering the attack on IVF, I don’t think that’s what conservatives have in mind for the solution to this supposed problem.

      • Nutteman@lemmy.world
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        3 months ago

        Yeah they clearly plan on the easier, cheaper, and more vile option: forcing pregnancy onto people via denial of access to contraceptives

  • muusemuuse@sh.itjust.works
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    3 months ago

    Translation: people who recognize this shit sucks and don’t want to inflict it upon a child happen to be leftists.