• agamemnonymous@sh.itjust.works
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    3 days ago

    Statistics results change based on the lens through which you interpret the data. Pure math doesn’t do that. Assigning probabilities is arguably pure math, but assigning error bars is purely subjective. It’s more a reflection of the subjective selection and definition processes than of the underlying probabilities.

    • kuerbiskernoel@feddit.org
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      3 days ago

      Assigning probabilities is arguably pure math

      Not even that is pure math. It depends on your prior knowledge, for example if you think one event is more likely. On the other hand if you don’t include prior knowledge/assumptions like one event being more likely you’re implying that the prior knowledge behaves in a way that makes your combination of probabilities and data the way it is (for example a flat prior, aka every event has the same likelihood, but in some cases it gets even weirder and would effectively force an absurd prior, so you typically just avoid that by defining some prior knowledge beforehand).

    • queerlilhayseed@piefed.blahaj.zone
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      3 days ago

      assigning error bars is purely subjective

      I don’t know where you got this idea from but it is incorrect. Error bars are used to indicate uncertainty in measurements and they are used to indicate confidence (or lack thereof) in those measurements. Measurement is hard, and precise measurement is harder, so engineers of all stripes use error bars to indicate how precisely their data have been recorded. It’s not just a stats thing.

      also this:

      results change based on the lens through which you interpret the data

      happens in every field, including pure mathematics. Look up the axiom of choice if you would like a lot of further reading about the implications of interpreting mathematics through that particular lens. Much as we may long for a “purely objective” language of the universe, free from the limitations of human interpretation, we haven’t discovered it yet. The best we can do for now is try to make good assumptions and build from there.