I’m betting at some point around late August personally. Maybe September latest.

  • JeeBaiChow@lemmy.world
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    5 days ago

    My country subsidizes fuel heavily, and recently signed a supply arrangement with russia. So, pretty soon.

  • Rimu@piefed.social
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    5 days ago

    It’ll be uneven.

    I know people in Philippines who no longer cook at home because they haven’t been able to afford LPG for the last 2 months. So their “shortage” (under capitalism there are no shortages, just prices you can’t afford) started a long time ago.

    I doubt USA, as an oil producing nation, will see proper shortages ever. They’ll just stop exporting their surplus. America First.

    Other countries that don’t produce / refine oil will be getting properly desperate around end of July / August, yeah.

    Time to shamelessly plug !fuel_crisis@piefed.social

    • blarghly@lemmy.world
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      5 days ago

      I doubt USA, as an oil producing nation, will see proper shortages ever. They’ll just stop exporting their surplus. America First.

      The USA already doesn’t ecport its own oil. It is one of the worlds top oil producers… and consumes all of it, and then needs to import more to continue functioning.

      Honestly this is a very basic fact that anyone purporting to know how global oil markets will move should know before making any predictions.

    • Brkdncr@lemmy.world
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      5 days ago

      The amount of stuff that needs oil to be made and is made overseas is staggering. That’s where the US will be hurt. Indirect costs will skyrocket.

      It’s going to be CPUs. Expect cell phones to become unobtainable.